krabapple wrote:...what, if anyting, would constitute 'quackery' in your view...
Any dubious claim made in an obvious attempt to get me to part with my money (or some other agenda) certainly arouses my suspicions. But when seemingly intelligent and reasonable people believe something that I don't, I wonder what it is that they know, or how they came to those conclusions.
Even something 'proven wrong' in the literal sense, can only be 'proven wrong' in practice by a limited number of people -- wouldn't you also have to admit that someone else *might* come along and 'prove it right'?
If some guy making an outrageously bogus claim ends up aceing a double blind test, what choice do I have but to take his ideas (or his product) seriously? Although my first reaction would be to think that I was duped.
Do you understand that science is, at its core, the attempt to develop a set of *likelihoods* about the real state of the world, though observation and testing of models?
For complex phenomena that are not easily explained, I would agree that it must be a case of "preponderance of evidence." But wouldn't that necessarily involve a subjective evaluation process? If I believe that theories should ideally be simple and elegant, I might favor such a theory even though it may have a few more "exceptions" than a competing theory, and I might argue that these exceptions, though more numerous, are less important.
We should keep in mind that our observations can be incomplete, biased, and distorted. Let's suppose that you watch a man make an object disappear, then reappear. What did you just "observe"? What is the "likelihood" that the object disappeared? What is the "real state"? Would you change your answers if the man was wearing a white smock and standing in a lab, instead of a black cape and standing on a stage? Think about the various assumptions that you might make depending on the situation. Further, think about your ability to distinguish between real magic from a trick, or (slightly more realistically) between a trick and the demonstration of the world's first teleportation machine.
Some 'theories' are unprovable -- divine creation is one of them. Once you posit an omnipotent supernatural being who can flout all natural laws, then there's really no compelling way to approach such a being scientifically.
Using the physical sciences, no. But I believe that there is a spiritual dimension to our existence. By that I mean that there is a purpose and a reason for it, and that we are not a byproduct of random processes, drifting aimlessly through time in a meaningless universe. IMO, any theory of the origin of our existence must, at least in part, be philosophical...but I also believe that such theories should be reasonably compatible with physical science.
As for creationism, there's no evidence *for* it...
On the contrary, some accepted theories of the origin of the universe assume an instantaneous moment of creation.
...there's tons of evidence that militate against it...
Tons??? Again, I ask -- what evidence is there that militates against the creation the universe?
...and *for* the current theory.
Which is?
Invisible elves could be pushing the planets around...hey, we haven't proved they *don't*, have we? So, why isn't that theory on an equal footing with current models of celestial mechanics?
LOL. However, our model of celestial mechanics is based on observation -- we still don't fully understand how gravity and inertia operate on a cosmic scale. The model is often being adjusted to accomodate new discoveries. I believe that is why the current model includes the mysterious substance known as "dark matter."
In any event, are invisible elves more bizarre than "charm quarks" and "strange quarks"?
Notice I have never used the phrase 'absolute inaudibility'
True. But the fellow you quoted at the beginning of this thread seems to be hung up on it.