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Poll: Election Day, November 7, 2006

Posted: Sun Nov 05, 2006 7:08 pm
by Bennett Cerf
Let your voice be heard.

Posted: Sun Nov 05, 2006 8:12 pm
by David R. Modny
The House should be in the Dem bag, short of outright fraud.

The Senate will be a near miss IMHO...probably *because* of outright fraud (mixed in with a good dose of fear and stupidity).

Posted: Mon Nov 06, 2006 8:37 am
by Rspaight
If I wanted to be dramatic, I'd say that the Dems would miss the Senate because of Lieberman. In truth, they'll probably have lost it either way, but wouldn't that just be typical?

Ryan

Posted: Mon Nov 06, 2006 9:46 am
by Xenu
I've seen polls and opinion pieces that paint this race going every which way. Wednesday will either be a pleasant surprise or a chorus of "I-told-you-sos." At this point, though, a failure to take the House at least will be disastrous.

Posted: Mon Nov 06, 2006 11:28 am
by Bennett Cerf
For me the most discouraging recent polls have been the surprisingly strong showings for the Republican Senate candidates in Rhode Island and Maryland (states that voted for Kerry by 21- and 13-point margins, respectively). Mason-Dixon has Chafee leading by 1 point, although all the other polls show a Whitehouse lead. Steele has yet to lead any any poll since September, but he's cut Cardin's lead significantly, and they were tied in a recent SurveyUSA poll.

I suspect these are just outliers, but it would be pretty upsetting if Democrats managed to lose those, especially if they eke out victories in Montana, Missouri, and Virginia.

Posted: Mon Nov 06, 2006 1:04 pm
by David R. Modny
I think that when the voting machine and absentee ballot irregularities, the new I.D. requirements and usual chicanery are factored into the equation, any *Senate* race that's polling even remotely close will swing the 'Pubs way.

And, sadly, these fear mongers -- both financially and psychologically -- are always more able to motivate their base to vote - which will make any of their shenanigans easier to justify when they're handing out the day after explanations.

Posted: Mon Nov 06, 2006 5:33 pm
by Bennett Cerf
Well, if every Senate race that's polling remotely close goes to the Republicans, that would mean the Democrats would pick up only Ohio and Pennsylvania and lose Maryland, making for a net gain of 1 seat. Needless to say, I hope you're wrong, especially since I don't see the Democrats taking the House while barely causing a ripple in the Senate.

(And please don't tell me you have any doubts about Sherrod Brown's chances.)

Posted: Mon Nov 06, 2006 7:52 pm
by Rspaight
Brown is clearly toast, unless Diebold gets very bold indeed.

I'm still not convinced taking the Senate is likely. The House looks like a done deal, but I've learned never to assume anything when it comes to the Dems snatching defeat from the jaws of victory.

Anyone want to do an Election Night thread? I could get some fine imbibables and OD on CNN with all you fine folks.

Ryan

Posted: Mon Nov 06, 2006 8:41 pm
by David R. Modny
Bennett Cerf wrote:
(And please don't tell me you have any doubts about Sherrod Brown's chances.)


Considering how Blackwell & Co. have stacked the election process in the 'Pubs favor here in Ohio, nothing would surprise me. Though, if DeWine does somehow win, this particular contest should probably be acknowledged as a nationwide litmus test for voter fraud. That said, I think Brown will eek it out. You'd be hard pressed to find a more corrupt and mean-spirited bunch of folks than the DeWine cabal. In this case, I think it will trump the cheating.

And, as an example of the chickens coming home to roost, Blackwell doesn't stand a prayer in his bid for Governor. No way that the same racist, myopic 'Pubs in middle Ohio and beyond that helped put the current administration in power to begin with are going to cast a vote for an African-American when it's his turn to run for Governor. They'll simply pass on that vote.

Posted: Tue Nov 07, 2006 12:15 am
by Beatlesfan03
I would hope #1 but #2 is probably the most logical. Though if everything ends up red, I will quickly consider #3.

The bright spot here in Florida is that at least Katherine Harris is on her way out. All the talk of Ohio in this thread makes me homesick but good to know that Kenny boy doesn't stand a chance. :cry:

Posted: Tue Nov 07, 2006 1:30 am
by David R. Modny
Beatlesfan03 wrote: All the talk of Ohio in this thread makes me homesick but good to know that Kenny boy doesn't stand a chance. :cry:


All in all, I think Ohio stands a decent chance for a major Dem overhaul. Good news, considering we had to bear the shame as the decisive state in the Fraud of '04.

There...I've gone and jinxed it all now...lol.

Posted: Tue Nov 07, 2006 6:09 pm
by Xenu
The reports of voting irregularities are a veritable deluge.

Posted: Tue Nov 07, 2006 9:32 pm
by Bennett Cerf
If CNN's projections are to be believed, Democrats are looking at a net gain of at least 3 in the Senate (winning Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Rhode Island and holding Maryland).

Posted: Tue Nov 07, 2006 10:20 pm
by Rspaight
I'm not terribly optimistic about TN or VA, but I didn't expect to take the Senate anyway. The House is shaping up nicely.

Lieberman and his conservative fans are going to be (even more) insufferable. But Santorum is gone, and that's got to count for something.

Ryan

Posted: Wed Nov 08, 2006 3:33 am
by Xenu
I feel all tingly.